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HomeAwards2025 Oscars: Best Original Screenplay Predictions

2025 Oscars: Best Original Screenplay Predictions

Nominations voting is from January 8-12, 2025, with official Oscar nominations introduced January 17, 2025. Closing voting is February 11-18, 2025. And eventually, the 97th Oscars telecast will probably be broadcast on Sunday, March 2 and air reside on ABC at 7:00 p.m. ET/ 4:00 p.m. PT. We replace our picks by way of awards season, so hold checking IndieWire for all our 2025 Oscar predictions.

Regardless of the pessimism across the decline in theater-going the primary half of the yr, there even have been loads of movies which have been given sufficient of a platform to enter the Finest Unique Screenplay dialog, even at this early juncture. 

Noémie Merlant in 'Emmanuelle'
Bill Skarsgård and FKA twigs in THE CROW. Photo Credit: Larry Horricks for Lionsgate

Diving into the breakout movies from Sundance in January and Cannes in Could, the 2 movies that obtained awards for his or her screenplay particularly have been “A Actual Ache,” from Oscar-nominated actor turned filmmaker Jesse Eisenberg, and Coralie Fargeat’s “The Substance,” respectively. Extra movies that took benefit of Sundance as a launchpad embrace Sean Wang’s coming of age dramedy “Dìdi,” which received the viewers award, plus premieres like “I Noticed the TV Glow” from Jane Schoenbrun and “A Completely different Man” from Aaron Schimberg, which each had already secured distribution from A24, and have now taken their ultra-indie writer-directors to a brand new degree of recognition.

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But when historical past have been to repeat itself, it’s extra possible that the 2024 Cannes Movie Competition screened movies which can be extra prone to break into the Oscar race. As an illustration, recent off “Poor Issues,” which was nominated for Finest Tailored Screenplay, filmmaker Yorgos Lanthimos premiered “Sorts of Kindness” on the spring pageant, his first feature-length collaboration with screenwriter Efthimis Filippou since their 2017 movie “The Lobster,” which netted the pair a Finest Unique Screenplay Oscar nomination. That very same yr, “The Florida Undertaking” remained proper on the Oscar bubble, however with a Palme d’Or now beneath his belt, Sean Baker is extra prone to take his new movie “Anora” all the way in which in a number of classes, together with this one.

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There’s nonetheless a lot extra to return, from Francis Ford Coppola and M. Night time Shyamalan each taking massive, thrilling swings with their respective movies “Megalopolis” and “Entice,” to Oscar-winning filmmakers Steve McQueen, Pedro Almodóvar, and Andrea Arnold all re-entering the race with “Blitz,” “The Room Subsequent Door,” and “Fowl.”

But when there may be one actually fascinating story effervescent up inside the screenplay races proper now, it’s author Justin Kuritzkes presumably being nominated for each Finest Tailored Screenplay and Finest Unique Screenplay, ought to “Queer” be obtained properly and the autumn, and extra importantly, ought to “Challengers” have the endurance to discover a second wind throughout awards season. If that have been to occur, the burgeoning screenwriter, who occurs to be married to 2024 Finest Unique Screenplay nominee Celine Tune (“Previous Lives”), could be the primary since Coppola to perform that feat.

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Potential nominees are listed in alphabetical order; no movie will probably be deemed a frontrunner till we have now seen it.

Jesse Eisenberg (“A Actual Ache”)
Efthimis Filippou and Yorgos Lanthimos (“Sorts of Kindness”)
Alex Garland (“Civil Warfare”)
Justin Kuritzkes (“Challengers”)
Sean Wang (“Dìdi”)

Pedro Almodóvar (“The Room Subsequent Door”)
Andrea Arnold (“Fowl”)
Jacques Audiard (“Emilia Pérez”)
Sean Baker (“Anora”)
Francis Ford Coppola (“Megalopolis”)
Coralie Fargeat (“The Substance”)
Azazel Jacobs (“His Three Daughters”)
Mike Leigh (“Laborious Truths”)
Steve McQueen (“Blitz”)
Nick Payne (“We Stay in Time”)
Daina O. Pusić (“Tuesday”)  
Aaron Schimberg (“A Completely different Man”)
Jane Schoenbrun (“I Noticed the TV Glow”)
M. Night time Shyamalan (“Entice”)
Nathan Silver and C. Mason Wells (“Between the Temples”)

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