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HomeAwards2025 Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay Predictions

2025 Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay Predictions

Nominations voting is from January 8-12, 2025, with official Oscar nominations introduced January 17, 2025. Last voting is February 11-18, 2025. And eventually, the 97th Oscars telecast will likely be broadcast on Sunday, March 2 and air stay on ABC at 7:00 p.m. ET/ 4:00 p.m. PT. We replace our picks by means of awards season, so maintain checking IndieWire for all our 2025 Oscar predictions.

Prefer it or not, the state of the film enterprise is at some extent the place the Greatest Tailored Screenplay dialog begins round which main sequels are Oscar contenders. Even with its tepid important response, it’s onerous to not throw “Inside Out 2” on the checklist when the primary one acquired a Greatest Unique Screenplay nomination and gained Greatest Animated Function in 2016. Plus, the Pixar movie has been essentially the most profitable 2024 theatrical launch thus far, popping out at a time the place box-office analysts had been able to throw within the towel on the yr.

Beverly Hills Cop: Axel F
on stage during the 2016 Writers Guild Awards at the Hyatt Regency Century Plaza on February 13, 2016 in Los Angeles, California.

“Dune: Half Two” additionally obtained the yr off to an excellent begin, considerably outgrossing its predecessor and receiving higher evaluations. Even with the Writing department’s hesitation round nominating sequels, filmmaker Denis Villeneuve and screenwriter Jon Spaihts, beforehand nominated for “Dune,” are prone to get credit score once more for his or her assured tackle a sci-fi novel as soon as thought of unadaptable.

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Each “Gladiator” and “Joker” acquired screenplay Oscar nominations, so sight unseen each “Gladiator II” and “Joker: Folie à Deux” make the checklist of scripts with Academy Award potential. However as confirmed by “Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga,” a poor efficiency on the field workplace might shortly dampen these odds.

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Curiously, contenders “Hit Man” and “Sing Sing” performed on the 2023 Toronto Worldwide Movie Pageant alongside “American Fiction,” which gained this Oscar class in March. Much like Wire Jefferson’s Viewers Award winner, each movies are main crowdpleasers that proved they will maintain months of awards conversations and stability humor and coronary heart with their spin on real-life occasions.

Given what number of current winners are literary variations of supply materials revealed within the final couple a long time, it’s secure to place an upcoming movie like “The Nickel Boys,” a Colson Whitehead adaptation, or Marielle Heller’s adaptation of Rachel Yoder’s standard 2021 novel “Nightbitch,” on checklist of screenplays that prone to be on awards voters’ radars. Nonetheless, interested by the movies that truly gained this class, like “Jojo Rabbit,” “Ladies Speaking,” or “American Fiction,” it might be extra useful to adapt smaller novels moderately than ones that gained main literary prizes. Many who see “Conclave” or “The Wild Robotic” gained’t even know the movies are primarily based on books, and that could possibly be to their profit.

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Potential nominees are listed in alphabetical order; no movie will likely be deemed a frontrunner till we’ve seen it.

Frontrunners:
Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence “Divine Eye” Maclin, and John “Divine G” Whitfield (“Sing Sing”)
Dave Holstein, Meg LeFauve, and Kelsey Mann (“Inside Out 2”)
Richard Linklater and Glen Powell (“Hit Man”)
Jeff Nichols (“The Bikeriders”)
Jon Spaihts and Denis Villeneuve (“Dune: Half Two”)

Contenders:
Joslyn Barnes and RaMell Ross (“The Nickel Boys”)
Peter Brown and Chris Sanders (“The Wild Robotic”)
Audrey Diwan and Rebecca Zlotowski (“Emanuelle”)
Robert Eggers (“Nosferatu”)
Marielle Heller and Rachel Yoder (“Nightbitch”)
Winnie Holzman (“Depraved”)
Barry Jenkins (“The Hearth Inside”)
Claire Keegan and Enda Walsh (“Small Issues Like These”)
Justin Kuritzkes (“Queer”)
Nico Lathouris and George Miller (“Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga”)
Todd Phillips and Scott Silver (“Joker: Folie à Deux”)
Eric Roth and Robert Zemeckis (“Right here”)
David Scarpa (“Gladiator II”)
Peter Straughan (“Conclave”)
Malcolm Washington, Virgil Williams, and August Wilson (“The Piano Lesson”)

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