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HomeAwards2024 Emmys Predictions: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or a...

2024 Emmys Predictions: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or a Movie


We’ll replace this text all through the season, together with all our predictions, so ensure that to maintain checking IndieWire for the most recent information from the 2024 Emmys race. The nomination spherical of voting takes place from June 13 to June 24, with the official Emmy nominations introduced Wednesday, July 17. Afterwards, closing voting commences on August 15 and ends the evening of August 26. The 76th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards are set to happen on Sunday, September 15, and air stay on ABC at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT.

The most important replace within the Excellent Restricted or Anthology Collection races occurs to be what has been excluded. One can assume the crucial and industrial hit FX sequence “Shōgun” transferring to the Drama classes frees up two nomination slots within the Excellent Lead Actor in a Restricted or Anthology Collection Emmy class specifically now that actors Hiroyuki Sanada and Cosmo Jarvis are out of competition.

Julia Fox attends the Soho House Awards at DUMBO House
USA Network series 'White Collar' and 'Suits'

The state of the race now mirrors the state of the race final 12 months, the place as soon as once more Netflix has the 2 prime contenders: Andrew Scott, who’s efficiency in “Ripley” had lengthy been pegged as a frontrunner the identical means Evan Peters’ flip as “Dahmer” was final 12 months, and Richard Gadd, who led a late breaking hit restricted sequence “Child Reindeer” the identical means final season’s winner Steven Yeun did with “Beef.”

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One notable factor about this 12 months’s restricted sequence race is that for the primary time shortly voters have had extra time to make amends for the performances that ostensibly will obtain awards consideration. Matt Bomer in “Fellow Vacationers” (Showtime), Jon Hamm in “Fargo” (FX), David Oyelowo in “Lawmen: Bass Reeves” (Paramount+), and Tony Shalhoub in “Mr. Monk’s Final Case: A Monk Film” (Peacock), for instance, all premiered towards the tip of 2023, and due to this fact have been all within the combine throughout the winter awards season (so Golden Globes, SAG Awards, and many others.)

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One problem dealing with some exhibits which have a historical past with the Emmys, whether or not it’s “Band of Brothers” and “The Pacific” follow-up “Masters of the Air,” or the fourth season of “Genius,” centered this time on each Martin Luther King Jr. and Malcolm X, is that they boast a couple of contender for Lead Actor, so whereas Austin Butler and Kelvin Harrison Jr. are the extra well-known stars of these respective exhibits, they’re in competition towards their co-leads Callum Turner and Aaron Pierre, who match extra into the breakout narrative that additionally advantages somebody like “The Sympathizer” star Hoa Xuande.

If there may be ever a lesson proven by these Restricted or Anthology Collection classes every year, it’s that star energy will not be as large of a consider profitable the Emmy as one may assume.

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Present Contenders (In Alphabetical Order):
Matt Bomer, “Fellow Vacationers” (Showtime)
Austin Butler, “Masters of the Air” (Apple TV+)
Benedict Cumberbatch, “Eric” (Netflix)
Richard Gadd, “Child Reindeer” (Netflix)
Jon Hamm, “Fargo” (FX)
Kelvin Harrison Jr., “Genius: MLK/X” (Nationwide Geographic)
Tom Hollander, “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)
Ewan McGregor, “A Gentleman in Moscow” (Showtime)
David Oyelowo, “Lawmen: Bass Reeves” (Paramount+)
Aaron Pierre, “Genius: MLK/X” (Nationwide Geographic)
Invoice Pullman, “Murdaugh Murders: The Film” (Lifetime)
Matthias Schoenaerts, “The Regime” (HBO)
Andrew Scott, “Ripley” (Netflix)
Tony Shalhoub, “Mr. Monk’s Final Case: A Monk Film” (Peacock)
Hoa Xuande, “The Sympathizer” (HBO)

Extra Restricted Collection and TV Film Class Predictions:
Excellent Restricted or Anthology Collection
Excellent TV Film
Excellent Lead Actress in a Restricted Collection or a Film
Excellent Supporting Actor in a Restricted Collection or a Film
Excellent Supporting Actress in a Restricted Collection or a Film

View IndieWire’s full set of predictions for the 76th Emmy Awards.

Final Yr’s Winner: Steven Yeun, “Beef”
Nonetheless Eligible: No.
Sizzling Streak: Ever since Netflix’s first win within the class 5 years in the past, with Jharrel Jerome for “When They See Us,” the streaming service has had considered one of its stars win each different 12 months. Ought to a Netflix star like Andrew Scott (“Ripley”) or Richard Gadd (“Child Reindeer”) win, it could be the primary time Netflix would start construct a streak within the class.
Notable Ineligible Collection: André Holland, “The Large Cigar” (the season won’t air in time to be eligible); Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Harmless” (the season won’t air in time to be eligible); Daniel Brühl, “Changing into Karl Lagerfeld” (the season won’t air in time to be eligible); Laurence Fishburne, “Clipped” (the season won’t air in time to be eligible); Nicholas Galitzine, “The Thought of You” (the movie was not submitted for Emmys consideration); Jake Gyllenhaal, “Street Home” (the movie was not submitted for Emmys consideration)

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